Mike Evans is the only player in NFL history to start a career with 11 consecutive 1,000-yard receiving seasons. Only one other player has posted 11 straight 1,000-yards campaigns during a career. That one player? Jerry Rice.

With another quadruple-digit receiving season, Evans would move past Rice and alone in NFL lore with 12 straight such campaigns.

Derrick Henry is defying age and usage and could climb his way the top 10 in career rushing yards with another big year.

But they aren’t the only ones with a high-water marks within their sights in 2025. Here’s a look at players on the verge of history this season, their odds of setting milestone marks and Matt Bowen’s thoughts on whether they will reach them.

NFL milestones on the horizon

The player: Mike Evans

The milestone: 12 consecutive 1,000-yard receiving seasons
The odds: +125 to reach 1,000+ yards in 2025

Year after year, Evans produces 1,000-yard seasons. But will that streak continue in his age-32 season? A hamstring injury limited Evans to 14 games last season, and it took some extra effort in Week 18 to keep his string of 1,000-yard seasons alive. He tied a season high with 14 targets in the Tampa Bay Buccaneers’ regular-season finale, hauling in nine receptions for 89 yards — putting him at 1,004 yards on the season and giving him his 11th straight 1,000-yard campaign, tying him with Hall of Famer Jerry Rice for the NFL record.

Evans is the only player in league history to start a career with 11 straight 1,000-yards seasons (Rice’s 11-year run started in his second season). If he gets to 12 years in a row, maybe he can start thinking about another Rice record: 14 career 1,000-yard seasons.

Will he or won’t he? He will. With the aggressive throwing mentality of quarterback Baker Mayfield, Evans will remain a vertical stretch option in the Bucs’ pass game, in addition to the production he can create as a short-to-intermediate target. Plus, with Chris Godwin Jr. not expected to return until October and Jalen McMillan starting the season on IR, Evans enters Week 1 as the primary option for Mayfield. If Evans can start fast, I see him inching by the 1,000-yard mark for the 12th consecutive year.– Bowen

The player: Derrick Henry

The milestone: Top 10 in career rushing yards
The odds: Over 1,250.5 yards (-130), 1,500+ yards (+155)

Henry ranks 19th with 11,423 career rushing yards. He needs 1,317 yards to pass former Dallas Cowboys great Tony Dorsett for 10th on the NFL’s career rushing yards list. Henry became the first 30-plus-year-old running back to rush for at least 1,900 yards in a season last year. The most rushing yards in an age-31 season belongs to Curtis Martin, who tallied 1,697 in 2004 with the Jets. Henry is +155 to rush for 1,500+ and his season over/under is 1,250.5 (-130/Even).

Also on the radar, with 106 career rushing TDs, Henry needs just one more to move into sole possession of sixth place on the career rushing touchdowns list (he is tied with Jim Brown) and is four scores from tying Walter Payton for fifth all-time. But he’s also within range to pass Adrian Peterson (120) and Marcus Allen (123) to reach third place all-time. ESPN BET has Henry at -105 to record 14+ rushing TDs, which would tie him with AD at 120, and +185 to post 16+ TDs, which would have him right on Allen’s tail. His over/under for TDs on the season is 13.5 (O -105/U -125).

Will he or won’t he? He will. Henry showed no signs of slowing down on the ’24 tape, and the Baltimore Ravens’ offensive structure creates explosive play opportunities in the run game. Henry finished last season with 1,921 yards rushing, and his 45 carries of 10 or more yards ranked second in the league behind Saquon Barkley. With the anticipated weekly volume, plus Henry’s physical traits as a runner, he will pass Tony Dorsett this season. — Bowen

The player: Matthew Stafford

The milestone: 400 career TD passes
The odds: 23.5 TD passes in 2025 (Over -115/Under -155)

Stafford is 23 touchdown passes away from joining the exclusive 400 TD club. Only eight quarterbacks have achieved the feat, with Ben Roethlisberger the most recent to reach it, in October 2021.

Stafford is a ways off from catching Tom Brady, who retired with 649 TD passes, but 400 is within reach this season.

The Los Angeles Rams QB threw 20 TD passes in the 2024-25 season and sits at 377 for his career. And, oddly enough, he averages 23.5 TD passes per season for a career that began in 2009 with the Detroit Lions.

Will he or won’t he? He will. The back injury in camp does create some pause here, but Stafford is also more than willing to play hurt. And in Sean McVay’s heavily schemed pass game, with the addition of Davante Adams to pair with Puka Nacua, Stafford can find the end zone as a thrower more than 23 times. — Bowen

The player: Russell Wilson

The milestone: 50,000 career passing yards
The odds: +210 to throw for 3500+ yards, +650 to throw for 4,000+

The longtime Seattle Seahawks QB, who last year played for the Pittsburgh Steelers after two years in Denver, will be under center for the New York Giants in 2025.

Wilson has 46,135 career passing yards, good for 17th all-time. He would join 12 others to have reached the 50K-yard mark with 3,865 more passing yards.

Wilson has not thrown for over 4,000 yards since the 2020 season and will be entering his first season with the Giants. He passed for 2,482 yards last year in 11 games with the Steelers (over a full 17-game season, that rate calculates to 3,835.8 yards).

Will he or won’t he? He won’t. If Wilson remained the starter for 17 weeks, then this would be an attainable number in Brian Daboll’s offense. However, given the flashes we saw from quarterback Jaxson Dart in the preseason, I expect the rookie to see real playing time in 2025, which will limit the total production for Wilson. — Bowen

The player: Dak Prescott

The milestone: Most passing TDs in Cowboys history
The odds: +450 to throw 35+ TD passes this season

Prescott has a chance to establish multiple franchise records with a big season. With 35 touchdown passes, he would tie Tony Romo for the most in Cowboys history (248). Romo also holds the Cowboys’ franchise record for career passing yards (34,183), with Prescott a mere 2,747 yard from surpassing his predecessor’s mark. Prescott’s over/under on passing yards this season at ESPN BET 3,750.5, and he is -125 to hit the over.

Another record well within reach: Most completions in Cowboys history. Hall of Famer Troy Aikman holds the franchise record with 2,898 completions. With 2,780 to his name, Prescott needs just 119 completions to pass Aikman.

Will he or won’t he? He won’t. Adding wide receiver George Pickens is an upgrade for Prescott and the passing game. Pickens can lift the top of the secondary to create open voids for Prescott to target CeeDee Lamb, and he brings a big-play element to the field at the third level. However, under new coach Brian Schottenheimer, I anticipate a Dallas offense that slows the tempo and uses the run game as a foundational approach, which will cap Prescott around 30 touchdown passes. — Bowen

The player: Micah Parsons

The milestone: Double-digit sacks in each of first five seasons
The odds: -115 to go over 12 sacks

One thing you can say about Parsons is he is consistent. Since entering the league in 2021, Parsons has 13, 13.5, 14 and 12 sacks, respectively, in his four seasons. He is a four-time Pro Bowler and two-time first-team All-Pro.

If he can reach 10-plus sacks again this season, he would join Hall of Famer Reggie White as the only players in NFL history to record double-digit sacks in each of their first five seasons. Considering his 12 sacks last year came in just 13 games, his chances look good, and ESPN BET agrees. He is also now listed as the favorite to win Defensive Player of the Year (+500).

Will he or won’t he? He will. After the stunning trade to Green Bay, the Packers now have two bookend rushers in Parsons and Rashan Gary. Parsons is a top-three edge rusher, a chaos creator with elite movement skills and counters. Over his first four years in the league, Parson’s 251 pressures rank second in the NFL behind only Maxx Crosby. He’ll be a difference-maker in Green Bay, so bet on double-digit sacks — again. — Bowen

The player: Justin Jefferson

The milestone: Most receiving yards through six seasons
The odds: -900 to record 1,000+ receiving yards

File this under strange but true (and impressive). Jefferson is already seventh on the list for receiving yards through six seasons — and he has played only five! He can take the top spot with just 944 yards, which would surpass Randy Moss’ total through six seasons (8,375 yards).

Jefferson has 7,432 receiving yards on his young career and is averaging 96.5 receiving yards per game (the best number in NFL history!). The Minnesota Vikings star holds the record for most receiving yards through two seasons of a player’s career (3,016), three seasons (4,825), four seasons (5,899) and five seasons (7,432).

To put his start in perspective, to catch Jefferson in the Year 5 numbers, Ja’Marr Chase needs a 2,008-yard season. Calvin Johnson holds the single-season record in receiving yards with 1,964 in 2012.

Will he or won’t he? He will. There is a level of uncertainty surrounding J.J. McCarthy in Minnesota, but in Kevin O’Connell’s QB-friendly system, the second-year pro will be set up with defined reads and isolation throws. That works for Jefferson, the league’s premier route runner, who can attack every branch of the route tree while producing at all three levels of the field. — Bowen

Other milestones within reach

• Patrick Mahomes needs 31 touchdowns to break Peyton Manning’s record for most touchdowns in a QB’s first nine seasons. ESPN BET has Mahomes listed at +115 to throw 30+ TDs. Mahomes also needs just five TD passes over his next eight games to become the fastest to reach 250 (Aaron Rodgers reached 250 in 121 games).

• Rodgers is one win away from joining a select group of quarterbacks who have defeated all 32 NFL teams. That list: Tom Brady, Peyton Manning, Brett Favre and Drew Brees. Rodgers has won a game vs. every team in the NFL in his career… except his former squad in Green Bay. The Steelers host the Packers in Week 8 and are early 1.5-point underdogs.

• Travis Kelce is 14th on the career receptions list with 1,004 catches but is within range of the top 10 and could possibly reach the top five with another big season. Kelce is 98 catches away from tying Marvin Harrison, who ranks fifth with 1,102 receptions. He needs 67 receptions to pass Reggie Wayne (1,070) for the No. 10 spot.

• Calais Campbell ranks third in career tackles for a loss with 187. The soon-to-be 39-year-old is eight behind J.J. Watt (195 TFLs) for second place and 15 from tying Terrell Suggs (202) for the most since tracking on the stat began in 1999. Campbell had 12 TFLs in 2024 with the Miami Dolphins.